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ATP Week Ahead: Indian Wells

Posted by gauloises1 on March 10, 2010

Draw here.

Top 8 seeds: Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, Andy Murray, Nikolay Davydenko, Robin Soderling, Andy Roddick, Marin Cilic

Quarter #1: Roger Federer’s health and match fitness are something of a question mark going in to this tournament, but he’s got a nice draw, unless Steps or Baggy can pull off a major upset. In the bottom eighth, much will depend on the state of Andy Roddick’s shoulder, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him upset in the fourth round by Monfils or – dare I dream? – Nalbandian … Predicted semifinalist: Federer.

Quarter #2: Has Andy Murray picked himself up off the mat yet? Well, if he isn’t, he can damn well put the spoon back in the ice-cream and get back up starting now, because he’s got a really nice draw up to the fourth round. Ivo Karlovic doesn’t bother him as a rule and Ferru should, fingers crossed, be fairly straightforward on a hard court. In the bottom eighth, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga rolled his ankle in a dead Davis Cup rubber at the weekend and Robin Soderling has a loss to Feliciano Lopez that could come back to haunt him, but hopefully nothing stands in the way of a blockbuster fourth round. (I’m also looking forward to a possible Zeballos-Montanes second round.) Predicted semifinalist: Mur…Tsong…ling. I don’t know. Soderling.

Quarter #3: The good news is that Ernie made it into the main draw. The bad news is that he drew Marco Chiudinelli in the first, with a meeting with Kolya waiting if he wins that. Tomas Berdych and Fernando Verdasco should have a WHAM! BAM! KABLAMMO! third round with the winner meeting Kolya. I could feel Verdasco for that, actually. In the bottom eighth, Isner and Querrey have an ideal opportunity to bounce back from their Davis Cup defeat and could meet in the third round, but I can’t believe either beats Rafa if he’s healthy and well-rested, even if he’s somehow forgotten how to play tennis. Take note, though, of a certain Mario Ancic playing a qualifier in the first round … Predicted semifinalist: Rafa. I’m feeling it. It’s time.

Quarter #4: Novak Djokovic is nominally the healthiest of the big guns. He’s also the one who’s played by far the most tennis. It could catch up with him as early as the second round, if Mardy Fish plays inspired tennis as he occasionally does on home ground, or the third, against Kohlschreiber who upset him at the 2009 French Open. The good news is that I can’t see him having a particularly dangerous fourth-round opponent, unless Gilles Simon has made a sudden recovery and has come prepared to run him into the ground. That match could last years, if it happens. The top eighth is loaded with my favourites – Marin, Boss, Pico and Nose Job. I’m going to say Marin comes through and if I wasn’t terrified of jinxing him, I’d say he makes the semifinals. I am, though, so .. Predicted semifinalist: Novak Djokovic

Semifinals: Federer d. Soderling; Nadal d. Djokovic

Final: Federer d. Nadal

Oh yes, I went there. Thoughts?

25 Responses to “ATP Week Ahead: Indian Wells”

  1. irefusetotellyou said

    Geez oh pete. I’m trying to do the Draw on ATP right now, and I really just don’t know who to put where.

    Monfils or Gasquet? How far will Nalby go? WHAT TO DO WITH HORSEFACE?!?

    • linz said

      A Monfils/Nalby 3rd rounder could be AMAZING.

      I don’t know what to do with any of my draw, but I’d like to throw it out a window and make them do the draw again. Does it work that way?

      • gauloises1 said

        I’m just praying that Nalby and Mario make it far enough to meet top opponents. God knows, they won’t.

        • irefusetotellyou said

          I’ve got Nalby making it to quarterfinals … wishful thinking?

          • linz said

            Yes. But I have Andreev making the quarters, so don’t listen to me LOL. Wait- wasn’t he injured during DC? Hmm…maybe he I should change that….I just really want someone to beat Murray early and I think it will happen.

  2. whitelinefervor said

    Remember last year? How Fed couldn’t hit a forehand anymore?

    I don’t know where I’m going with this, but I know I don’t like it.

    • naughty T....urbane gentleman said

      oh those days are over.. err.. aren’t they? oh crap.

      • whitelinefervor said

        Amazing what a difference a year makes, innit?

        If only we could’ve shown our frazzling IW 2009 selves a movie of the Year To Come back when Roger was spraying Fedhands all over the joint.

        But then, I hate spoilers. ;P

        • naughty T....urbane gentleman said

          true of Wilf of Wisdom. I tell myself that it does not much matter what happens from here on in but clearly I am just bullshitting myself. I care very deeply.

  3. naughty T....urbane gentleman said

    Well if Djoko is knackered after basically 5 days between matches then indeed he needs to get new trainers, coaches and probably mother and father…(new mother might be a good idea anyway given her poisoning ways)
    Seems to me the Muzzard has the easiest draw with Ruffuh a close second. If Muzzard doesn’t come good this tourny it may well spell the beginning of a long slow slide I feel.

    • gauloises1 said

      I’m saying he might be emotionally burnt out, I don’t think that’s unfair or a slight on his fitness. All the other top seeds for better or worse have had a proper rest.

  4. stelle said

    So, who said Kolya would even make the third round?

  5. amberfan said

    I like your predictions Gauloises, from your keyboard to the tennis gods’ eyes, pretty please!
    Although I like Murray to reach the final (I think you were trying not to jinx him, no?) 😉

    • gauloises1 said

      I wish I could say I was trying not to jinx him. I actually just have zero faith in him. He’s a broken man these days 😦 😦 😦

  6. rogerlove said

    oh..

  7. rogerlove said

    Though my love is always Roger.

    Roger was sickness.

    Time that was to be practiced is a little.

  8. Master Ace said

    SF 1 : Federer vs Murray
    SF 2 : Nadal vs Cilic
    F : Murray vs Cilic
    W : Murray will get the title of 3 set Slam king back from Davydenko

  9. glass_candle said

    Nodal is not beating Djoko on hard in IW, whatever state Djoko might be in.

  10. glass_candle said

    Uh. That must read “Nadal”

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